Abstract
Developers and manufacturers of complex systems are finding
themselves in more and more competitive situations which force faster and lower cost
product life cycles. More powerful computers and advanced software are helping to
significantly shorten time to market with improved products. The key to achieving
these improvements is a methodology called Total Product Optimization. Using state-of-the-art
software and computers, major industrial organizations can automate their design
process, optimize their integrated designs through rapid product modeling, performing
"what-if" studies, simulating and diagnosing failures and, very importantly,
capturing a knowledge base (often called a "Virtual Engineering Model")
for the product that can be used throughout the manufacturing, testing, operations
and field maintenance parts of the life cycle. This paper describes why this is important
to technical businesses today and how it can be achieved with a low investment.
DEFINITION
OF TPO
Many companies today have a segregated approach to designing new products
or making major upgrades to existing products. Technical disciplines tend be grouped
together into "silos". They perform their portions of the product design
with relatively little interfacing with other technologies. There are plenty of meetings
and phone calls but the actual design work is done with processes and tools that
become unique to the discipline. Some companies are beginning to take the first major
step toward integrating disciplines into "Integrated Product Teams" or
IPT's. These teams work together in a common work area, report to a common boss,
charge to a common budget and have one common focus. NASA, along with other advanced
technical organizations, have been leaders in encouraging this type of culture change.
Figure 1 indicates how this is done.
After the IPT concept has been implemented
in some form, the next logical step is to produce a complete model of the product
such that the design of the complete product can be developed and optimized as a
total entity. This Total Product Optimization (TPO) concept can yield huge advantages,
especially when cost, time-to-market and other competitive considerations are important.
HOW
TO INITIATE A TPO ENVIRONMENT
The effort to create an integrated model of
a product, especially when it is a large system like an automobile, airplane, missle,
assembly line or refinery, can be truly awesome. It is seldom practical to just drop
existing discipline models and start over with a new complete model.
An incremental
phase-in of a TPO environment is usually necessary. The early selection of a capable
total simulation tool and a computer system is required. The tool must have all the
key features which will allow it to ultimately be the central simulation tool. Because
of the need for the incremental phase-in, it must interface, either directly or indirectly,
with common discipline-specific models which already exist. Some of these models
may later be incorporated into the central tool and others, due to their uniqueness,
may always remain separate but integrated from control and data passing points of
view. Other very important central tool characteristics are;
· a friendly
and flexible user interface, point and click capability, natural language dialog
·
the ability to generate multidiscipline models; mechanical, electrical, thermal,
chemical, etc.
· predefined or easily adapted interfaces to existing models
·
the ability to perform trade studies and what-if's and to quickly show product performance
under varying conditions
· the ability to insert simulated failures and to
show system performance under these conditions
· the ability to accumulate "design
knowledge" about the product such that it can be applied to testing, product
operation, field maintenance or later improvement
· capability to become a
real-time operation and diagnosis tool
· a highly developed and proven hardware
interface
Once a tool is selected and users have become accustomed to it,
organizations can begin to reap the benefits of optimized products and shortened
development cycles.
THE INFLUENCE OF COST ON TPO
It is rare in
industry today that the cost of producing and maintaining a product is considered
early in the design process. It is even more rare that the consumer's cost-of-ownership
is considered. Airlines are particularly sensitive to ownership costs because having
to replace expensive parts or performing constant servicing is costly and keeps the
aircraft out of service. When design choices are made for various parts, those with
low maintenance characteristics can be traded against initial cost of the part. When
design decisions are made with these costs being part of the optimization process,
much greater customer satisfaction and market share can result.
Oftentimes,
particularly in Government acquisitions, complex products must be designed to cost
no more than a certain amount. The functionality of the product therefore is limited
by what the buyer can afford. Cost modeling becomes very important in this case because
individual functional capabilities can become part of the cost decision.
Some
companies today have separate cost models which can be integrated with a central
tool to help with TPO. If not, development and addition of a cost model, either as
a stand-alone model or as part of the central tool, can be well worth the expense.
Cost can become an integral part of a company's knowledge base.
HIGH
VALUE OF KNOWLEDGE BASES
Finding efficient ways to capture knowledge automatically
in a computer has eluded engineers and computer scientists for many years. It has
been clear that if technical knowledge could be stored in a computer in such a way
that it could be used for product improvement, testing, maintenance, fault diagnosis,
failure detection, product operation and in many other ways, a great deal of money
could be saved by eliminating the re-development of information bases by each organization
that a product passes through. It also would reduce the reliance upon "special"
people who always seem to be the only ones who have all the design knowledge of a
product. Figure 2 shows a typical product life cycle over which a single knowledge
base can be very effective.
USE
OF KNOWLEDGE BASES IN THE FIELD
Next to the total system design optimization,
use of a common product knowledge base is an area of high leverage cost savings.
In many industries, maintenance contracts with customers are common. These generally
are fixed price so the speed with which diagnoses are made, parts replaced (the correct
part the first time!) and the product returned to service translates into higher
profits and more satisfied customers. The automotive industry is on the leading edge
of capturing design knowledge only once for a product and transferring it to dealer
shops for direct use in trouble diagnosis and repair.
SELECTION OF THE
CENTRAL TOOL
A relatively new design, optimization and diagnosis tool is available
on the market today. It is called RODON, (the Greek word for Rose). It is already
demonstrating its amazing capabilities in many complex technical and medical applications
in Europe and the United States. It is produced by an engineering and research company
in Germany named R.O.S.E. Informatik. This product takes advantage of state-of-the-art
modeling techniques, friendly user interfaces and fast computer workstations.
RODON,
THE TOOL OF CHOICE
The functional analysis tool "RODON" is a model
based simulation, monitoring, analysis and diagnosis tool that integrates engineering
methods with Artificial Intelligence technology. All these functions can be performed
using the same knowledge base or Virtual Engineering Model. The modeling approach
is fashioned after a powerful method many engineers apply to diagnose a system they
are developing where initially they only know its nominal functionality and the topology,
i.e., the components it consists of and their connections. In other words, they know
the configuration and the intended behavior, but do not have any experience with
failures and their ultimate effects. At first, they build a mental model of the system.
Then they identify how the hypothesized failure symptoms match with the nominal and
off-nominal behavior of components in the functional chain or net i.e. they propagate
the symptoms backward through the system until they find a functional unit which
seems to explain the symptoms. They then identify the failure mode of the component
after which they anticipate (i.e. simulate) how this matches with the full set of
observations in order to either confirm or invalidate the hypothesis. Insertion of
failure modes of components into rodon is very important because they are decisive
in the performance of the diagnosis and are critical parts of the knowledge base.
The
essentials of this approach are as follows: A technical system consists of a number
of functional units or components which are connected with each other to form an
assembly or system. The generic behavior of the individual components is known and
can in general be described in mathematical form including tabulated sets of measured
values. The behavior of the system as such is then defined by the behavior of the
components and their connections. The mental reasoning process described above encompasses
diagnosis (backward reasoning) as well as simulation (forward reasoning). The basis
of the mental model is the nominal or regular behavior of the functional units and
not the symptoms of the failed system. Faults are detected and isolated on the basis
of the deviation of the faulty behavior from the nominal behavior.
The capabilities
of RODON as stated above can generate significant benefits by allowing simulation
of multiple systems incorporating different technical disciplines. Nominal operation
can be observed across all of the systems meaning that all interfaces are understood
and that no mismatches have occurred. It is important to note that this is being
done at design time rather than after systems have been built and physical integration
started when redesign becomes very expensive. Further, system operation under various
failure conditions can be observed. The manner in which fault symptoms propagate
from one system to another can be simulated and captured into the knowledge base
for instant use later when the total product is in the field and real failures occur.
Diagnosis by repairmen or maintenance shops is significantly aided by prior knowledge
of failure signatures.
RODON thus is a tool which fits the TPO concept and,
through its knowledge base, follows the product from concept to deployment and maintenance.
The operating modes of rodon are consistent with the design and implementation life
cycle phases of products, whether they are new designs or improvements of previous
designs.
LOW INVESTMENT
RODON has a unique capability to integrate
into existing design and simulation environments so that companies do not have to
discard old design methodologies quickly. Over time, RODON can phase into and upgrade
current processes. A tool like RODON can help overcome the "legacy factor"
which tends to impede beneficial change in established companies. RODON creates an
environment for systematic improvement of employee proficiency. Investment in process
improvement occurs continuously in progressive companies and RODON can become the
centerpiece of such improvement. RODON is part of the improvement investment and
can be the impetus for continued progress in the important area of product optimization.
CONCLUSION
The
principles of focusing engineering teams on specific products and the use of modern
design optimization tools like RODON are extremely important to process improvement
and overall design optimization. Creation of a knowledge base from the start of a
product's life cycle and carrying it through to its end produces a new level of product
engineering and operation efficiency. Risk is significantly reduced by focusing engineering
manpower into dedicated teams and using a central modeling tool like RODON to integrate
multiple engineering technologies to achieve a technically optimized product.
REFERENCE
Werner
Seibold, A Model Based Diagnosis and Simulation System in Practical Use - The Concept
of RODON. In Third International Workshop on Principles of Diagnosis, October 1994
July
1995
Bill Lokken
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